The Number of Members in an Age Cohort Determines the Size of a "Baby Boom" or a "Baby Bust."

Alberta population estimates

A population estimate is a measure out of the electric current or historical population at a item point in time.

Population estimates documents released December 29, 2021

• Third Quarter 2021 Alberta population estimates (July 1, 2021 to September 30, 2021)
  • Data released past Statistics Canada on Dec 16, 2021
• Access the data tables available below

Population growth returns to pre-pandemic levels

• Alberta added 21,291 residents in the third quarter of 2021. Equally of October 1, 2021, Alberta's population was iv,464,170.
• In the third quarter, improvements in interprovincial migration and immigration boosted population growth.
  • Net interprovincial migration turned positive later five consecutive quarters of net outflow.
  • Immigrant landings returned to levels non seen since 2019, boosted by very high national admissions.
  • However, the proportion of immigrants to Canada choosing to live in Alberta continues to exist lower than normal.
• Alberta's population grew by 0.48% in the tertiary quarter. Natural increase and net interprovincial migration each contributed 0.10% to overall growth while net international migration amounted to 0.27%.
• Alberta's year-over-year population growth picked up this quarter, posting 0.90%. This was below the national charge per unit (1.06%) and about identical to the aforementioned quarter final year.
• For more details on how COVID-19 was taken into account in population estimates, see Technical Supplement: Production of Demographic Estimates for the Second Quarter of 2020 in the Context of COVID-nineteen.

Alberta components of population change, 3rd quarter of 2021

Source: Statistics Canada and Alberta Treasury Lath and Finance

Population of provinces and territories equally of October one, 2021 and growth rates since October one, 2020

Population of provinces and territories equally of October i, 2021 and growth rates since October 1, 2020

Province/ territory	Population	Y/Y Growth rate
Canada	38,436,447	1.06%
NL	521,758	0.thirty%
PEI	165,936	2.81%
NS	998,832	1.76%
NB	794,300	1.41%
QC	eight,631,147	0.60%
ON	14,915,270	1.xviii%
MB	1,386,333	0.23%
SK	1,180,867	0.23%
AB	four,464,170	0.ninety%
BC	5,249,635	1.80%
YT	43,095	1.88%
NWT	45,515	0.55%
NVT	39,589	1.23%

Natural increase

• Natural increment (births minus deaths) resulted in an increase of 4,601 people.
  • There were 12,499 births and vii,898 deaths in the third quarter of 2021.
• Alberta continued to have the highest natural growth rate of the provinces at 0.10%.

International migration

• International migration added 12,201 new residents in the tertiary quarter—a dramatic comeback from the same period last year (-352).
• Alberta received 11,917 immigrants, more than than twice the level seen in the same quarter last year.
  • In the third quarter, Canada welcomed 122,748 immigrants; the highest quarterly number of immigrants registered since at to the lowest degree 1946 (data collected prior to 1946 is not methodologically comparable). This increase was mainly the result of temporary residents already in Canada becoming permanent residents. Farther, the easing of pandemic-related border restrictions immune previously-approved immigrants to come to Canada. People from Afghanistan also began arriving in Canada over the third quarter of 2021. Federal Immigration targets for the next three years were increased in an effort to first very low intake during the pandemic. The target for the calendar yr of 2021 is 401,000 permanent resident admissions.
• Alberta's share of national immigration picked upward slightly, posting 9.7% in the third quarter, which was 2.5 percentage points lower than the same period in 2020 (12.ii%).
• On a net ground, the net migration of non-permanent residents accelerated to the highest level since before the pandemic (2019).
• Internet interprovincial migration turned positive (4,489) after five consecutive quarters of internet outflows. This represents the largest gain in a single quarter since 2015. On a net basis, Alberta gained the most interprovincial migrants from Ontario (2,820), Saskatchewan (1,641) and Manitoba (1,461). Alberta lost the near interprovincial migrants to British Columbia (-1,596).

Interprovincial migration

• For the 3rd consecutive quarter, net interprovincial outflows accelerated (-5,447). On a net basis, Alberta gained the most interprovincial migrants from Manitoba (1,126) and Saskatchewan (1,043). Alberta lost the almost interprovincial migrants to British Columbia (-half-dozen,985).

Internet population motility for Alberta (July 1, 2021 to September 30, 2021)

Source: Statistics Canada and Alberta Treasury Board and Finance

Interprovincial migration statistics, July i, 2021 to September thirty, 2021

Interprovincial Migration Statistics, July one, 2021 to September thirty, 2021

Province/ Territory	In	Out	Net	Outflow to Alberta	Inflow from Alberta	Net Flow to Alberta
NL	1,856	1,614	242	456	794	195
PEI	1359	969	390	157	122	35
NS	half-dozen,278	iii,782	2496	724	913	-189
NB	5,006	iii,418	1588	409	577	-168
QC	9,176	9,815	-639	1166	939	227
ON	21,717	28,609	-six,892	7,220	4,400	2,820
MB	2,756	six,633	-three,877	ii,060	599	1,461
SK	3,789	vii,156	-3,367	three,082	1,441	1,641
AB	22,013	17,524	4,489	0	0	0
BC	19,352	thirteen,575	5,777	6,435	8,031	-ane,596
YT	254	324	-lxx	70	56	14
NWT	457	586	-129	218	143	75
NVT	235	243	-eight	16	42	-26

PDF reports: Annual and quarterly population reports archive

• 2020-21 Annual Population Report (September 29, 2021)

These past publications detail Alberta population estimates betwixt 2002 and 2019.

• 2009 2nd Quarter – 2019 2nd Quarter
• 2002 Starting time Quarter – 2009 First Quarter

Data tables (Excel format)

Population estimates and components of growth

• Population estimates and components of growth (estimates and components of growth files updated September 29, 2021)
• Municipal (Census Subdivision) Population Estimates (2016 - 2021) (file updated January fourteen, 2022)

Components of migration, mobility and births and deaths

• Components of Migration / Mobility – Alberta, 19 Census Divisions and viii Economic Regions (Alberta file updated October vii, 2020)
• Vital statistics (births and deaths) – Alberta, 19 Census Divisions and 8 Economic Regions (Alberta file updated September 29, 2020)

Animated population estimates pyramid (age and sexual activity)

See the animated pyramid population estimates (age and sex) for 1921 to 2020 (updated Oct 7, 2020).

Shifts in the age distribution result from changes in fertility, mortality and migration for specific age groups.

The relative size of the major cohorts in Alberta'south population is largely due to the differences in the size of the cohort at birth. For instance:

• an increase in fertility rates later Earth War Two caused the big Babe Smash cohort
  (built-in 1946–1965)
• the decline in fertility rates right later the Baby Smash years led to the Baby Bosom cohort
  (born 1965–1974)
• the Boomer cohort'due south children as well stand out in the pyramid as the Echo generation
  (born 1975–1995)

Alberta population projections

Population projections requite a picture of what the time to come population may be like. Population growth projections for Alberta and its sub-regions use three scenarios:

• medium-growth (or reference)
• high-growth
• depression-growth

Download Alberta population projections – 2021 to 2046:

• infographic (PDF, 235 KB) (July 2, 2021)
• complete report (PDF, 1.5 MB) (July 2, 2021)

See below for highlights from the publication.

Alberta population projections infographic – 2021 to 2046. Download this infographic (PDF, 235 KB).

Highlights: 2021-46 medium (reference) scenario

In 2046, Alberta'south population is expected to:

• reach about six.iv million people, an increase of roughly ane.9 million people from 2020
• become older, with an average historic period of 41.five years, up from 38.5 years in 2020
• become increasingly diverse, equally arrivals from other countries account for about 54% of the expected growth over the projection period
• become more concentrated in urban centres, especially along the Edmonton-Calgary Corridor; 80% of Albertans are expected to live in this region past 2046

Chart: Alberta Population Projections, 1972-2046

Source: Statistics Canada and Alberta Treasury Board and Finance

PDF reports and infographics: Alberta population projections

The following reports are for 2021 to 2046 and were released on July 2, 2021:

• Highlights (PDF, 41 KB)
• Population projections, 2021-2046 (PDF, 1.5 MB)
• Methodology and Assumptions (PDF, 766 KB)
• Infographic (PDF, 235 KB)
• Archive of previous reports

Data tables: Alberta population projections

The following files are for 2021 to 2046 and were released on July two, 2021.

Population projections data tables – Alberta and Demography Divisions

• Population projections data tables – Alberta and Census Divisions (Excel and CSV format)

Population projections information tables – Economic Divisions

• These are available upon request. Contact Jennifer Hansen ([e-mail protected]) for assistance.

Animated population projection pyramids (age and sex)

Animated population pyramids are available below for Alberta.

Age and sex are presented as percentages of the full population for the periods 1996 – 2020 (estimated) and 2021 – 2046 (projected) under iii dissimilar population growth assumptions:

• medium growth (reference scenario as most-likely case based on historical trends)
• high growth
• depression growth

The population projection pyramids below are for 1996 to 2046 and were released on July two, 2021.

Chart: Alberta population by historic period and sex (thousands), 2020 and 2046

View the pyramid blitheness for the medium growth scenario population projections (historic period and sex) to 2046. The image beneath shows the population for 2020 and 2046.

Source: Statistics Canada and Alberta Treasury Board and Finance

Blithe population projection pyramids for Alberta

• Alberta – medium growth (reference scenario)
• Alberta – all growth assumptions (medium, high and low growth)

Blithe population projection pyramids for Census Divisions and Economic Regions

• These are available upon request. Contact Jennifer Hansen ([e-mail protected]) for aid.

Population modify components

Population change is a result of the relationship betwixt births, deaths and migration.

Definitions

Natural increment

The departure betwixt the number of births and deaths.

Migration (net)

The divergence between movements into a region and those out of a region.

International migration (net)

This includes immigrants, emigrants, non-permanent residents (cyberspace), temporarily abroad (net) and returning migrants (come across definitions below).

• Immigrants: permanent residents moving to Canada from other countries and landing in Alberta.
• Emigrants: people permanently leaving Canada
• Non-permanent residents (internet): in and out movements of foreign students, workers and refugee claimants, and the families of each of these categories
• Temporarily abroad (net): movements of people who do non take a residence in Canada, just intend to return
• Returning migrants: one-time emigrants who have returned to Canada to live

Interprovincial migration (net)

The movement betwixt the provinces and territories of Canada, which equals 0 at the national level.

Intraprovincial migration (net)

The movement within the province of Alberta, which equals 0 at the provincial level.

Data tables (Excel format): population alter components

• Population estimates and components of growth (updated quarterly)
• Components of Migration / Mobility – Alberta, 19 Demography Divisions and eight Economic Regions (Alberta file updated October seven, 2020)
• Life expectancy in Alberta, at birth and age 65 (updated September xxx, 2020)
• Fertility rates – Alberta and 19 Census Divisions (updated September 30, 2020)
• Vital statistics (births and deaths) – Alberta, 19 Census Divisions and 8 Economic Regions (Alberta file updated September 29, 2020)

Demographic spotlight reports

Demographic profiles and information about the population, such as:

• migrants
• historic period cohorts
• fertility

PDF reports: demographic spotlights

• A Profile of Inter-Jurisdictional Employees in Alberta - 2016 update (March 16, 2020)
• Interprovincial Employees in Alberta: industrial contour by major region of origin (March 28, 2017)
• A contour of interprovincial employees in Alberta – 2012 update (September 21, 2016)
• Demographic Trends in Alberta'south Economical Regions (December 9, 2011)
• The visible minority population: recent trends in Alberta and Canada (August 31, 2011)
• Fertility in Alberta (June 10, 2011)
• Migration trends in census divisions: Fort McMurray, Calgary and Edmonton (March 11, 2011)
• Mortality in Alberta (Dec 17, 2010)
• Demography families in Alberta and Canada (July 28, 2010)
• International migration in Alberta (Dec 21, 2009)
• Interprovincial migration patterns in Alberta (September 26, 2009)
• Non-permanent residents in Alberta (May 21, 2009)

Demographic glossary of terms

Nosotros have a document listing relevant demographic terms.

Sign up for updates

Subscribe to become our statistical publications by e-mail

Jennifer Hansen, Managing director, Demography and Social Statistics
Office of Statistics and Information
Phone: 780-427-8811
Toll costless: 310-0000 before the phone number (in Alberta)
Email: [electronic mail protected]

Full general OSI enquiries

Hours: 8:fifteen am to iv:30 pm (open Mon to Fri, closed statutory holidays)
Phone: 780-427-2071
Cost costless: 310-0000 before the phone number (in Alberta)
Fax: 780-426-3951
Email: [email protected]

Media enquiries

Contact the Treasury Board and Finance Spokesperson.

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Source: https://www.alberta.ca/population-statistics.aspx

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